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Economic Calendar & Macro Data

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Track macroeconomic events, Fed rates, CPI, and economic indicators affecting crypto.

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Full skill instructions

Economic Calendar & Macro Data

Track macroeconomic events and economic indicators that impact crypto markets.

Data Sources

1. FRED API (Federal Reserve Economic Data)

https://api.stlouisfed.org/​fred/

Free API key: register at https://fred.stlouisfed.org/docs/api/api_key.html

If FRED_API_KEY is set, use it. Otherwise, note the data is unavailable and suggest the user register for a free key.

Key Series
Series IDDescription
FEDFUNDSFederal Funds Effective Rate
CPIAUCSLConsumer Price Index (CPI)
UNRATEUnemployment Rate
GDPGross Domestic Product
DGS1010-Year Treasury Yield
DGS22-Year Treasury Yield
T10Y2Y10Y-2Y Spread (yield curve)
M2SLM2 Money Supply
WALCLFed Balance Sheet Total Assets
DEXUSEUUSD/​EUR Exchange Rate
Endpoints

Latest observation:

GET /​fred/​series/​observations?series_id={id}&sort_order=desc&limit=1&api_key={key}&file_type=json

Historical data:

GET /​fred/​series/​observations?series_id={id}&observation_start={YYYY-MM-DD}&api_key={key}&file_type=json

Series metadata:

GET /​fred/​series?series_id={id}&api_key={key}&file_type=json

2. Finnhub Economic Calendar

https://finnhub.io/​api/​v1/​calendar/​economic

Free API key: register at https://finnhub.io. Set FINNHUB_API_KEY.

Endpoint
GET /​calendar/​economic?from={YYYY-MM-DD}&to={YYYY-MM-DD}&token={key}

Returns upcoming economic events with:

  • event — event name
  • country — country code
  • impact — high, medium, low
  • actual / estimate / prev — data values
  • time — event timestamp

Key Events for Crypto

High Impact

EventFrequencyWhy It Matters
FOMC Rate Decision8x/​yearRate hikes → risk-off → crypto down
CPI (Inflation)MonthlyHigh CPI → more hikes expected
Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP)MonthlyStrong jobs → hawkish Fed
GDPQuarterlyRecession fears → flight to safety
PCE Price IndexMonthlyFed's preferred inflation gauge

Medium Impact

EventFrequencyWhy It Matters
PMI (Manufacturing)MonthlyEconomic health indicator
Retail SalesMonthlyConsumer spending strength
Jobless ClaimsWeeklyLabor market pulse
ISM ServicesMonthlyService sector health

Impact on Crypto

General patterns (not financial advice):

  • Rate cuts / dovish Fed → bullish for crypto (more liquidity)
  • Rate hikes / hawkish Fed → bearish for crypto (less liquidity)
  • CPI above expectations → bearish (more hikes coming)
  • CPI below expectations → bullish (rate cuts possible)
  • Strong jobs data → mixed (good economy but hawkish Fed)
  • Yield curve inversion → recession signal, initially bearish then bullish

Usage Notes

  • Always note that macro-to-crypto correlation is not guaranteed
  • Present event times in the user's timezone when possible
  • For FOMC meetings, note both the date and the press conference time
  • Combine with crypto-news for full market context
  • If no API keys are available, summarize what data would be accessible and suggest registration

Example Interactions

User: "When is the next Fed meeting?" → Check Finnhub calendar for FOMC events, report date and current rate expectations

User: "What's the current CPI?" → Fetch FRED series CPIAUCSL, report latest reading and YoY change

User: "Any major economic events this week?" → Fetch Finnhub calendar for current week, filter by high impact, list events

User: "How does the yield curve look?" → Fetch DGS10, DGS2, T10Y2Y from FRED, report current spread and inversion status