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danishritonga/karhutla
karhutla is a machine learning model from danishritonga. Use it for the machine learning task on the model card, and read the license before you ship it in a product. The card lists the license as mit.
Production default model for the Riau peatland-fire early-warning system.
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Updated Aug 10, 2026
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.joblib72.6 MB · 96%
From the Hugging Face model README
Production default model for the Riau peatland-fire early-warning system.
model_lgbm_operational.joblib — LightGBM classifier, operational regime (22 channels,
including hotspot_count_lag fire history). Trained 2019–2021, validated 2022, tested 2023
(50k training samples).
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| PR-AUC | 0.712 |
| F1 | 0.625 |
| Recall | 0.583 |
| ROC-AUC | 0.879 |
| F1 threshold | 0.420 |
| File | Purpose |
|---|---|
model_lgbm_operational.joblib | LightGBM classifier (joblib) |
checkpoint_operational.json | sidecar: norm_stats, tab_names, channels, best thresholds |
comparison_table_operational.csv | full model comparison on the operational regime |
shap_importance_operational.png | SHAP feature importance |
predictions.parquet | per-cell, per-horizon risk (columns cell_idx, day, probability) — consumed by the Space backend |
The HuggingFace Space backend (danishritonga/karhutla space) fetches
predictions.parquet at runtime (10-min TTL cache) and falls back to simulation mode if
fetch/schema validation fails. Set HF_MODEL_REPO=danishritonga/karhutla-risk-model on the
Space.